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Daily Market Report
Daily Market Report 5 Aug 2026
Daily Market Report
Daily Market Report 4 Aug 2026
Daily Market Report
Daily Market Report 3 Aug 2026
Daily Market Report
Daily Market Report 31 July 2026
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• This week’s local GDP and current account data surprised to the upside, led by a greater-than-expected current account surplus
Some relief for the ZAR, but risks remain
15 June 2026
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There has been a turnaround in South African interest rate expectations since the start of the Middle East war.
Oil shock fuels SA inflation and rate hike bets
25 May 2026
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Cheap in Dollars, Expensive in Rands: What the Global Latte Index Reveals About South Africa
Cheap in Dollars, Expensive in Rands: What the Global Latte Index Reveals About South Africa
22 May 2026
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Viewpoint: Oil shock implications for the ZAR
24 April 2026
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• There are early indications that US, Iranian and Israeli authorities are progressing towards a peace deal in the Middle East.
Viewpoint: War shows signs of ending and ZAR looks better
20 April 2026
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One would be forgiven for thinking that the war in Iran and the complex consequences it could drive would be tearing financial markets apart.
Viewpoint: ZAR impressively resilient given the war
13 April 2026
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Viewpoint: Scary potential for further fuel price jump in May
9 April 2026
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Given the current balance of risks, exporters will need to plan their strategies to take advantage of any near-term ZAR depreciation and secure some of the best forward rates they have seen in months.
Three risk factors conspiring to undermine the ZAR
23 March 2026
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Oil Makes Headlines. Diesel Moves the Economy.
Oil Makes Headlines – Diesel Moves the Economy
19 March 2026
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Bringing some sanity to recent market moves
13 March 2026
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Oil Market Disruption Risk
9 March 2026
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Oftentimes, investors look for fundamental justification for a market move to explain it. Most of the time, the diagnosis is wrong. Most forecasters, including the SARB, have a very poor track record in their currency forecasts.
Market positioning suggests ZAR is getting stretched
2 February 2026
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ZAR performance compares well with EM currencies
ZAR performance compares well with EM currencies
26 January 2026
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BoJ hike impacts carry trades, but less so the ZAR
22 December 2025
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The current account is a useful tool for gauging South Africa’s external position. South Africa’s current account deficit narrowed to -R57bn in Q3 from a revised reading of -R72.2bn in Q2.
Current account a pillar of ZAR resilience
12 December 2025
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Calling a bubble is hazardous and may trigger a bad call on the ZAR
Calling a bubble is hazardous and may trigger a bad call on the ZAR
2 December 2025
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ZAR Sentiment Indicator Points to Consolidation Amid Low Volatility
27 October 2025
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Rare Earths and Why SA Suddenly Matters
Rare Earths and Why SA Suddenly Matters
20 October 2025
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Platinum and gold price surge boosts ZAR but sustainability of move a concern
13 October 2025
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Portfolio flows and terms of trade buffer ZAR against tariffs
Portfolio flows and terms of trade buffer ZAR against tariffs
30 September 2025
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ZAR to find support as carry trades come back in vogue
15 September 2025
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treasuryone-south-africa-sarb-review
The Paradox of a Weakening Economy Supporting the Rand
1 September 2025
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SARB’s inflation efforts are key to helping ZAR
SARB’s inflation efforts are key to helping ZAR
25 August 2025
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Weaker oil prices a boon for ZAR
18 August 2025
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Tariffs kick in, but ZAR is weathering the storm
11 August 2025
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Argentina shows SA what reform can achieve
22 July 2025
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Argument for a weaker USD continues to build
Argument for a weaker USD continues to build
14 July 2025
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Dynamic FX Hedging in South Africa
Dynamic FX Hedging in South Africa
9 June 2025
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How TreasuryONE Helps Importers Get the Best Forex Rates
How TreasuryONE Helps Importers Get the Best Forex Rates
27 May 2025
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How Exporters Get the Best Forex Rates with TreasuryONE
How Exporters Get the Best Forex Rates with TreasuryONE
27 May 2025
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2025 Budget 3.0 Review
2025 Budget 3.0 Review
26 May 2025
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ZAR sentiment bolstered on GNU and inflation expectations
19 May 2025
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Despite global uncertainty, ZAR holds its own
Despite global uncertainty, ZAR holds its own
13 May 2025
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Soft inflation environment will support ZAR
29 April 2025
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GNU stress has impacted heavily on sentiment
GNU stress has impacted heavily on sentiment
22 April 2025
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Gold not what it was, but still helps ZAR
Gold not what it was, but still helps ZAR
31 March 2025
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What could spark a US recession?
What could spark a US recession?
17 March 2025
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2025 Budget First Take
2025 Budget First Take
13 March 2025
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Global Market Update March 2025
Global Market Update March 2025
12 March 2025
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Currency Risk Management
ZSI surges to support ZAR but financial market volatility is a risk
3 March 2025
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Postponed budget
A postponed budget is better than a bad budget
20 February 2025
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A Defining Budget: Unlocking Growth Through Reform and Private Sector Empowerment
A Defining Budget: Unlocking Growth Through Reform and Private Sector Empowerment
19 February 2025
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AGOA
AGOA loss in context
17 February 2025
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The Gold Market is Heating Up: What Rising Borrowing Costs Could Mean for You
The Gold Market is Heating Up: What Rising Borrowing Costs Could Mean for You
6 February 2025
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Are DeepSeek concerns already overblown?
Are DeepSeek concerns already overblown?
5 February 2025
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USD strength the order of the day amid Trump’s tariffs and hawkish US Fed
USD strength the order of the day amid Trump’s tariffs and hawkish US Fed
4 February 2025
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Viewpoint Seven Years On Land Expropriation Law Signed, Sparks Debate
Viewpoint Seven Years On: Land Expropriation Law Signed, Sparks Debate
3 February 2025
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London Gold Shipments to the U.S. Spark Surge in Loco South Africa Costs
London Gold Shipments to the U.S. Spark Surge in Loco South Africa Costs
30 January 2025
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Navigating Risk in the Forex Market
Navigating Risk in the Forex Market
14 January 2025
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China economy
China’s slowdown becomes a constraint
13 January 2025
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A busy central bank week lends support to the USD
A busy central bank week lends support to the USD
20 December 2024
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The pace of global monetary easing and the effect on currencies
The pace of global monetary easing and the effect on currencies
18 December 2024
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Big Mac Index
Quirky Economic Indexes in South Africa: A Playful Look at Serious Numbers
10 December 2024
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treasuryone-south-africa-trump-policies
Assessing Trump’s Policies: Economic, Immigration, and Market Impacts
19 November 2024
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treasuryone-south-africa-Capital-push-pull-factors
Capital push and pull factors align to support ZAR outlook
31 October 2024
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treasuryone-south-africa-terms-of-trade
SA’s trade dynamics remain ZAR supportive… for now
29 October 2024
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treasuryone-south-africa-zar-best-performing-currency
ZAR becomes the best-performing EM currency this year
30 September 2024
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treasuryone-south-africa-sarb-interest-rates-federal-reserve
Global monetary easing
16 September 2024
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treasuryone-south-africa-rand-shine
Has the Rand brand lost some of its shine?
29 August 2024
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Navigating Exchange Rate Fluctuations
Navigating Exchange Rate Fluctuations: A Guide by TreasuryONE
27 August 2024
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treasuryone-south-africa-bond-trade
Bond flows underpin ZAR gains
27 August 2024
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treasuryone-south-africa-financial-market-wobble
Financial Market Wobble
12 August 2024
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TreasuryONE-South-Africa-risks-benefits-two-pot-retirement-system
The risks and benefits of SA’s two-pot system
5 August 2024
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treasuryone-south-africa-ZAR-carry-attractiveness
ZAR poised to capitalise on volatile USD
29 July 2024
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treasuryone-south-africa-ZAR-carry-attractiveness
A “new new dawn” for SA?
3 July 2024
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treasuryone-south-africa-ZAR-carry-attractiveness
ZAR carry attractiveness jumps up the rankings
24 June 2024
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Navigating Exchange Rate Fluctuations
Navigating Exchange Rate Fluctuations: Why Foreign Exchange Risk Management Matters
27 May 2024
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Treasuryone-south-africa-zar-surge-after-elections
Given market positioning, ZAR could surge after the elections
20 May 2024
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treasuryone-south-africa-eskom
Sustained ZAR under-performance domestically linked
23 April 2024
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TreasuryONE-South-Africa-Terms-Of-Trade
SA’s terms of trade enjoy a boost at the perfect time
16 April 2024
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TreasuryONE-South-Africa-Yields-Differentials-Currency-Outlook
Yields Differentials vs Currency and Outlook
10 April 2024
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Treasurone-south-africa-election
South Africa’s Upcoming Watershed Election
4 April 2024
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treasuryone-south-africa-fiscal-risk
SA’s fiscal risk restricts ZAR performance
5 March 2024
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treasuryone-south-africa-us-exceptionalism-usd-strenght
US exceptionalism at the tail end of its cycle
13 February 2024
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treasuryone-south-africa-Rising-shipping-rates-raise-inflationary-pressure
Rising shipping rates raise inflationary pressure
29 January 2024
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treasuryone-south-africa-Disparity-weakening-US-economy-and-investor-sentiment
Disparity between a weakening US economy and investor sentiment
18 January 2024
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treasuryone-south-africa-Global-growth-facing-strengthening-headwinds
Global growth facing strengthening headwinds
15 January 2024
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